2012 Impossible Scenarios
2012 Ten-Year Forecast: Impossible Scenarios
In the gap between the incumbent path of the first curve and the emergent path of the second curve, seemingly impossible things can happen. The 2012 Ten-Year Forecast adopts a typology of impossible scenarios to think systematically about the impossible. This typology points to four kinds of impossibility which, when applied to the six driving forces of the decade, arrive at 22 impossible scenarios (Type 1, Type 2, Type 3, and Type 4). Although these scenarios stretch our thinking—and perhaps even our credulity—each also stands on signals already visible in today’s very real world.
Download
Publication Date
2012
Other 2012 Ten-Year Forecast Materials
Curious about the 2013 Ten-Year Forecast?
While not yet public, you can check out the 2013 Research Agenda for a quick preview.