Institute For The Future

Remember remember some forecaster's axioms

 

 

We say them a lot, but we really need to think them through often...especially now. Please feel free to add.

 

 

 

 

 

Technology development always faster than social acceptance.

 

 

 

 

on the other hand...

 

 

 

 

The street finds its own uses.

 

 

 

 

The impacts of technology tend to be overestimated in the short term and underestimated in the long term.

 

 

 

 

Or the grimmer reparsing of ol' Amara's law:

 

 

 

 

New inequalities in the short term … profound changes in the long term